What is wrong with Chinese COVID-19 statistics?
Keywords:COVID-19 pandemic, epidemic waves, epidemic dynamics in China, mathematical modeling of infection diseases, the generalized SIR model, parameter identification, statistical methods
The media is reporting tens of millions of new daily Covid-19 cases in China in the final days of 2022. However, official statistics have recorded in mainland China only 1.9 million cases since the start of the pandemic and stopped providing data after December 21, 2022. Results of SIR simulations showed that daily numbers of new cases stated to decline in December 2022. The contradictions in statistics and estimations are discussed. Millions of new daily cases in China look very unlikely.
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