What is wrong with Chinese COVID-19 statistics?

Authors

  • Igor Nesteruk Institute of Hydromechanics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine; Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54103/2282-0930/20637

Keywords:

COVID-19 pandemic, epidemic waves, epidemic dynamics in China, mathematical modeling of infection diseases, the generalized SIR model, parameter identification, statistical methods

Abstract

The media is reporting tens of millions of new daily Covid-19 cases in China in the final days of 2022. However, official statistics have recorded in mainland China only 1.9 million cases since the start of the pandemic and stopped providing data after December 21, 2022. Results of SIR simulations showed that daily numbers of new cases stated to decline in December 2022. The contradictions in statistics and estimations are discussed. Millions of new daily cases in China look very unlikely.

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Published

2023-07-18

Issue

Vol. 18 No. 1 (2023)

Section

Original articles

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.