Clinical Outcomes after Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Nonagenarian Patients: A Retrospective Population-Based Cohort Study

Authors

  • Matteo Franchi University of Milano-Bicocca Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, Milan; National Centre for Healthcare Research & Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan; Department of Statistics, IRCCS Centro Cardiologico Monzino, Milan image/svg+xml
  • Marco Gennari Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Milan image/svg+xml
  • Gaia Severgnini Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Milan image/svg+xml
  • Fausto Biancari Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Milan image/svg+xml
  • Alice Bonomi Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Statistics, Milan image/svg+xml
  • Federico De Marco Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Head of Structural and Valvular Cardiology Unit, Milan image/svg+xml
  • Gianluca Polvani Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Milan; Department of Biomedical, Surgical and Dental Biomedical Sciences, University of Milan image/svg+xml
  • Marco Agrifoglio Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Milan; Department of Biomedical, Surgical and Dental Biomedical Sciences, University of Milan image/svg+xml

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54103/2282-0930/29513

Abstract

Introduction

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has emerged as first choice for severe aortic stenosis (AS) in patients older than 75 years for all surgical risks [1], as well as in inoperable or high surgical risk patients [2], including nonagenarians [3]. Invasive treatments of these very elderly raise several ethical, financial, and procedural issues. Current data on the effectiveness and clinical outcomes of TAVI in this aged group remain limited, with unclear benefits and potential futility of the procedure in nonagenarians.

Objectives

To compare the overall survival and the risk of all-cause and heart failure-specific hospitalization in nonagenarian patients hospitalized for symptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS) who underwent transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) or conservative treatment in the Lombardy Region.

Methods

This population-based retrospective cohort study  was entirely based on healthcare utilization databases of the Italian region of Lombardy. The cohort included all nonagenarians hospitalized for AS between 2017 and 2021, who underwent TAVI within 90 days from first diagnosis or conservative treatment. The association between TAVI and clinical outcomes was assessed through Cox or Fine&Grey regression models. Given that patients exposed to TAVI are likely to have a more favorable clinical profile compared to unexposed patients, two different comparative analyses were conducted. First, since the baseline characteristics were restricted to specific measurable variables (age, sex, comorbidities and co-treatments summarized in the MCS [4]), the comparison could have been influenced by residual unmeasured confounding. To address this potential bias, a semi-automated data-adaptive high-dimensional propensity score (HDPS) approach was employed to reduce potential founding by indication [5]. Second, administrative data may not fully capture the clinical heterogeneity between exposed and unexposed patients, and unexposed patients are likely to have a higher mortality rate within the first months after the diagnosis of severe aortic valve stenosis. Thus, an additional analysis was conducted on patients who survived the first six months of follow-up.

 

Results

Overall, 16,848 nonagenarians hospitalized for AS were identified. Among these, 320 patients underwent TAVI. In the unmatched cohort, patients who underwent TAVI were younger, more frequently males, and exhibited a more favorable clinical profile compared to those who were unexposed to TAVI. In the HDPS analysis, 193 patients exposed to TAVI were matched to as many control patients. The 2-year survival rates were 76.0 % and 37.7 %, respectively, in TAVI and control patients, corresponding to an HR of 0.24 (95% CI 0.15–0.37). When excluding patients who died within the first 6 months of follow-up, a significantly higher survival was still observed among TAVI patients (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.16–0.47). The 2-year cumulative incidence of all cause re-hospedalization was higher during the first six months, being 47.4 % and 34.7 %, respectively. Rehospitalization for heart failure was 11.1 % and 26.5 %, respectively, corresponding to an HR of 0.64 (95% CI 0.40–0.99).

Conclusions

This study further supports the usefulness of TAVI in nonagenarians, as it showed to improve their survival rate, reduce their risk of rehospitalization, and likely increase their quality of life.

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Author Biographies

Alice Bonomi, Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Statistics, Milan

3 Department of Statistics, IRCCS Centro Cardiologico Monzino, Milan, Italy

Gianluca Polvani, Centro Cardiologico Monzino , Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Milan; Department of Biomedical, Surgical and Dental Biomedical Sciences, University of Milan

 

 

 

References

Baumgartner H, Falk V, Bax JJ, et al. 2017 ESC/EACTS guidelines for the management of valvular heart disease. Eur Heart J, 2017; 38:2739–91

Blankenberg S, Seiffert M, Vonthein R, et al. Transcatheter or surgical treatment of aortic-valve stenosis. N Engl J Med, 2024;390:1572–83

Arsalan M, Szerlip M, Vemulapalli S, et al. Should transcatheter aortic valve replacement be performed in nonagenarians?: insights from the STS/ACC TVT registry. J Am Coll Cardiol, 2016;67(12):1387–95

Corrao G, Rea F, Di Martino M, et al. Developing and validating a novel multisource comorbidity score from administrative data: a large population-based cohort study from Italy. BMJ Open, 2017;7(12):e019503

Schneeweiss S, Rassen JA, Glynn RJ, et al. High-dimensional propensity score adjustment in studies of treatment effects using health care claims data. Epidemiology, 2009;20:512–22

Published

2025-09-08

How to Cite

1.
Franchi M, Gennari M, Severgnini G, Biancari F, Bonomi A, De Marco F, et al. Clinical Outcomes after Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Nonagenarian Patients: A Retrospective Population-Based Cohort Study. ebph [Internet]. 2025 [cited 2026 Feb. 6];. Available from: https://riviste.unimi.it/index.php/ebph/article/view/29513

Issue

Section

Congress Abstract - Section 2: Epidemiologia Clinica